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Author Archives: rodroth
On Being A Sucker
The real trouble with this world of ours is not that it is an unreasonable world, nor even that it is a reasonable one. The commonest kind of trouble is that it is nearly reasonable, but not quite. Life is … Continue reading
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On Being A Dimwit
There is no guarantee, no ultimate formula for success. It all comes down to intelligently and relentlessly seeking solutions that will increase your chances of prevailing. When you do that, the score will take care of itself. —Bill Walsh, former … Continue reading
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Dealing With Market Ambiguity
It was the clearest of signals in that first week of October 2018. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite all could be labeled as having five complete waves at multiple degrees of trend, signaling the … Continue reading
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Sublime Paradox
“…What is involuntary human nature.” This “involuntary” is very true, very beautiful, very well observed, and this observation is new. —Joubert, 1818 Today is Saturday, and a gorgeous day. After the gloom and rain and cold last week, the thing … Continue reading
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On The Problem of Getting It Right
“Is there anything I can do to make myself enlightened?” “As little as you can do to make the sun rise in the morning.” “Then of what use are the spiritual exercises you prescribe?” “To make sure you are not … Continue reading
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Ode To Bagholders
These are the only genuine ideas, the ideas of the shipwrecked. All the rest is rhetoric, posturing, farce. –Jose Ortega y Gasset Habit dulls the imagination. After the first stock market drop a few weeks ago a friend said, “I … Continue reading
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NOT A GOOD OUTLOOK
OVERSTAYING A BULL MARKET Most investors make money in a bull market, only to lose all profits made–and sometimes more, in the readjustment that inevitably follows. –The New York Times, September 22, 1929 I’m writing this piece as the Dow … Continue reading
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On The Mindset Problem
It has never been my objective in these essays to call the top of a bull market. It matters not if I managed that if I didn’t have the proper frame of mind to take action well before the turn … Continue reading
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An Extraordinary Moment Dead Ahead
Everything unwilling to change, will die Everything that changes, dies only a little —Ray McManus, Red Dirt Jesus I’m not gonna lie, I don’t know if the DJI topped today, or has another 300-500 points rally left before making its … Continue reading
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My View, August 7, 2018
He: There is no reason the market has to do what you say. Me: What is the reason for there to be no reason? The conversation ended there. The history of the market is the history of forgetting. Thucydides’ comment … Continue reading
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