Category Archives: Socionomics

As I See It: Fall 2016

It’s the Second Law of Thermodynamics: Sooner or later, everything turns to shit. That’s my phrasing, not the Encyclopedia Britannica. —Sally, in Woody Allen’s Husbands and Wives (1992) I want to know why the phrase emblazoned on Bob’s T shirt says, … Continue reading

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On The Collapse of Reason

It ain’t easy —The Allmon Brothers My good friend and colleague, Tom, responded to my post about Trump with a copy of conservative columnist Thomas Sowell’s assessment of the major party candidates. Sowell holds that, for long term Republicans, there … Continue reading

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Thoughts Before The After

Oh, Mama, don’t walk away, I’m a goddamn sore loser, I ain’t too proud to say —Ray La Montaigne The gesture, a deliberate sweep of her hand across the table, conveys her dismissal of arguments against voting for the bully. “I’m tired,” … Continue reading

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End Times

People are not voting for Trump (or Sanders). People are just voting,  finally,  to destroy the establishment —N.N. Taleb To put the matter in understated terms: in the past thirty years, the Establishment, composed of journos, BS-vending talking heads, bureaurocrato-cronies, lobbyists, Washington rent-seekers and … Continue reading

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The Economy and Politics

Many Americans feel like they are victims of a slow-moving disaster –David Brooks, NY Times, Feb 16, 2016 Political guru, James Carville, said this about presidential politics: “It’s the economy, stupid!” The party in power claims credit when the economy is doing well, … Continue reading

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2016 in Markets: The Probabilities

Ohhh, this is gonna hurt! Batty Coda, in Ferngully This time a year ago, 17 economists, thought to be the financial industry’s most knowledgeable professionals, unanimously forecasted an up year in the markets. The result: All the secondary averages were down 10-15%, the … Continue reading

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In Search Of A Different Way

No problem can be solved by the same consciousness that caused it in the first place. –Albert Einstein What a year this has been for mass murders! Worse, the question of how to deal with them is one of the most … Continue reading

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To The Moon, Alice!

The ready way to make a mind go awry is to lace it too tight. —Coleridge, Notes, Nov. 1801 Well, it looked like the market was going to the moon. Gave hope to the bulls. Worried the bears unless they had the … Continue reading

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Financial Planning: the Narrative Fallacy

No event is unique, nothing is enacted but once…; every event has been enacted is enacted, and will be enacted perpetually; the same individuals have appeared, appear, and will appear at every turn of the circle. –Henri-Charles Puech The single … Continue reading

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The Revolution Imperative

The unique species of historical event we call a revolution occurs when everything changes at once –Michael Holquist Here comes everybody –James Joyce Lets see, what do we hate today? Institutionalized sleaze in government via lobbying and campaign finance? Corruption in the corporate … Continue reading

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