Category Archives: Socionomics

A Sense of Place

Saying the NFL kneeling is about the flag is like saying Rosa Parks staying seated on the bus in Montgomery was about transportation –Overheard somewhere, yesterday It’s now sixty-four years since I saw what I saw, and nothing’s changed. Nothing. … Continue reading

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All But Over

Don’t think. It’s the best advice I can give you. —from Isaac, by Ray McManus This will be my last essay on stocks for the remainder of the Grand Supercycle bull market. The preferred scenario is for the correction underway … Continue reading

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On What Infuences My Thinking

Decision Making In Uncertainty  Two Paradigms: Mechanist and Socionomic The Mechanist Paradigm: Action is followed by reaction. Most financial analysts, economists, historians, sociologists and futurists believe that society works the same way. They typically say, Because so-and-so has happened, it … Continue reading

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Antifragility: Nature’s Cure For Dystopia

I try not to finagle God. Some days go better than others, especially during elections years. I ask that God’s will be done, and I mostly sort of mean it. —Anne Lamott To survive, natural systems have to periodically get … Continue reading

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A Perspective For The Big Picture

What has been will be again, what has been done will be done again; Ain’t nothing new, baby! —Ecclesiastes 1,9 I’m taking Cindy’s mom back to Jacksonville and she asks me what I think will happen in the markets. I tell her. Now, she wants … Continue reading

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America Worst

The Zen Master would say if you want to change government, you have to aim at changing corporations, and if you want to change corporations, you first have to change the consumers. Whoa, wait a minute! the consumer? That’s me. … Continue reading

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At The Eve Of A Historical Turning Point

Suppose Trump fails to make America great again. His detractors will feel vindicated. His defenders will claim Force Majeure. Both will probably be half right. The most likely outcome of forty-five’s tenure is that he is the Dynamic Value philosopher/writer … Continue reading

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Socionomics: The Post-Election Outlook

Does anybody imagine that, come Tuesday, it’ll all be over? Would that such were the case, no matter who is elected president. Conventional forms of analysis and forecasting the major trends in politics, the economy and the markets start with … Continue reading

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The Nice America

Sure: that beautiful American word —Delmore Schwartz I had thought about leaving America for a few weeks-maybe hiding out in Belize until the nastiness surrounding the election dies down. What stopped me was reading and re-reading Roger Cohen’s recent column in the Times: “Delmore … Continue reading

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The Wiser Man

I got a jump rope. That thing’s just a rope, man. YOU gotta make the jump thing happen. —Mitch Hedberg We put the storm shutters we bought after the ’04 hurricanes up yesterday and left town. We are with Cindy’s mom in Jacksonville. … Continue reading

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