Author Archives: rodroth

My View, August 7, 2018

He: There is no reason the market has to do what you say. Me: What is the reason for there to be no reason? The conversation ended there. The history of the market is the history of forgetting. Thucydides’ comment … Continue reading

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What Corporate Insiders Are Doing (Again!)

You should be very angry if you own any stocks. Insiders, namely senior executives at major corporations are again doing what they have historically done at important tops: using corporate cash and borrowings to do stock buybacks for their companies … Continue reading

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Bear Market Resuming?

Based on my Elliott Wave Count, together with data on investor sentiment and momentum, I’m giving an eighty percent probability that the upward corrective action in stocks since the January 9th low is about over. If so, the next wave … Continue reading

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Wobbly Life At An Historic Top In The Stock Market

Not my favorite subject today, I’m not gonna lie to you. On January 26, 2018 the American stock market made the final top in the Grand Supercycle bull market that began in 1784. The previous top of similar degree occurred … Continue reading

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Two Views On What’s Next

On January 26 I posted an essay in which I said: “…the market is in the process of coming to a catastrophic end.” (Newer readers can view the entire essay by scrolling down past this one.) Shortly after reading my post, … Continue reading

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The Bull Market of 1932-2018

This wont take long: stock owners should be aware that the U.S. stock market is now in  the process of coming to a catastrophic end. Rising hundreds of points day after day turns an investment arena into a gambling den … Continue reading

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Bitcoin For Dummies

What is Bitcoin? Trying to read Wikipedia’s entry for Bitcoin will put you in a permanent state of confusion. Here’s the elevator answer to the question: Bitcoin is a digital asset, that is, its existence is in the form of … Continue reading

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Manias, Past And Present

Stare at the chart below, history is being made: A rational buy-and-hold investment strategy, cultivated by persistent increases over several decades, has come to a frightening  moment in the U. S. stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has soared … Continue reading

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Soul Cake

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Quintessencially Speaking

The mind wants to know all the world, and all eternity, even God. The mind’s sidekick, however, will settle for two eggs, over easy. –Annie Dillard, The Abundance Riffing on my favorite TV meteorologist (Look it this picture, folks, isn’t … Continue reading

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